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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Active Ended

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

0xce41e10b3c9b3764cfe3b54691b411a4565ac4ee6ced9a810ee629bbfbffce89

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 2.5% · CLOB volume $4.02M · whales 24h net $60.7k (66 wallets) · 7d net $636.2k · 1/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.5%

Yes

Implied No

97.5%

Volume

$4.02M

CLOB

Traders

1,819

12,913 trades

Yes 2.5%No 97.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

1.9% → 2.4% (+0.5pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$60.7k

Buy

$113.7k

Sell

$52.9k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$636.2k

Buy

$1.18M

Sell

$545.8k

Whales

291

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($60.7k)
•7d whale net still positive ($636.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-06 06:51:39

4093.6¢$200

YESBUY2026-08-06 06:51:39

2.4¢$3

YESBUY2026-08-06 06:51:39

2.5¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-06 06:35:12

97.5¢$1.9k

YESBUY2026-08-06 06:35:12

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xa5fd…36d1	$372.0k	$160.8k	$211.2k	$50.3k
0x9592…a7b8	$363.8k	$155.1k	$208.7k	$53.6k
0xab19…4876	$268.8k	$268.8k	$0	$-268.8k
0xc8ab…6418	$234.9k	$225.8k	$9.0k	$-216.8k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x5297…7b99	2,544	$1.12M	$-894.9k	3
0x5e30…1ebd	376	$891.3k	$190.1k	4
0x9592…a7b8	747	$860.1k	$-43.6k	3
0xa5fd…36d1	949	$690.7k

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