0x261c26c492bc9452493b3e1c792f26b2e90ed7c1cd6f49f0cb7330b40145bde0
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?” trades at 7% YES on Polymarket with $693.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 6.5% · CLOB volume $693.5k · whales 24h net $2.0k (24 wallets) · 7d net $65.8k · 1/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
6.5%
Yes
Implied No
93.5%
No
Volume
$693.5k
CLOB
Traders
458
2,581 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.0% → 7.0% (+1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.0k
Buy
$28.5k
Sell
$26.5k
Whales
24
Last 7 days
Net flow
$65.8k
Buy
$168.4k
Sell
$102.7k
Whales
67
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8afa…adb6 | $321.6k | $314.2k | $7.4k | $-306.8k |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | $150.1k | $25.1k | $125.0k | $99.9k |
| 0x453a…81d2 | $132.9k | $56.1k | $76.7k | $20.6k |
| 0x6575…b198 | $110.2k | $6.6k | $103.6k | $97.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8afa…adb6 | 539 | $1.07M | $-1.05M | 3 |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7 | 119 | $823.5k | $-7.2k | 1 |
| 0xa3df…6f87 | 672 | $743.7k | $-215.2k | 3 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 403 | $383.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 10 total · Event board
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
open · $693.5k
6.5%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
closed · $17.37M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
closed · $13.46M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
closed · $11.19M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
closed · $8.45M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
closed · $7.79M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
closed · $6.27M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
closed · $5.92M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
closed · $2.96M
0.0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
closed · $1.12M
0.0%
| 0x9377…2f06 | $49.7k | $3.1k | $46.7k | $43.6k |
| 0x836f…906e | $31.1k | $17.5k | $13.6k | $-3.9k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $30.2k | $22.7k | $7.5k | $-15.2k |
| 0xb7b8…db31 | $27.5k | $27.5k | $0 | $-27.5k |
| 0xa3df…6f87 | $19.5k | $10.9k | $8.6k | $-2.2k |
| 0x9d73…216b | $16.5k | $15.7k | $758 | $-15.0k |
| 0xcc3e…0e8d | $12.3k | $4.0k | $8.2k | $4.2k |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $11.9k | $7.7k | $4.2k | $-3.5k |
| $73.9k |
| 3 |
| 0xc97b…47e5 | 39 | $310.3k | $-91.7k | 2 |
| 0x5297…7b99 | 657 | $304.3k | $-240.9k | 3 |
| 0x5e30…1ebd | 286 | $283.0k | $276.9k | 2 |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | 71 | $263.4k | $-228.2k | 2 |
| 0x9377…2f06 | 97 | $256.7k | $248.0k | 2 |
| 0xadc2…d1c9 | 5 | $216.8k | $-1.8k | 1 |
