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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?Active 149 days left

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

0x58998da8fa20593cf07618032acd580344a79279a8bcc3ed128b668d793c3d6f

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 9.5% · CLOB volume $2.07M · whales 24h net $71 (3 wallets) · 7d net $71.9k · 2/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

9.5%

Yes

Implied No

90.5%

Volume

$2.07M

CLOB

Traders

5,158

25,939 trades

Yes 9.5%No 90.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

9.0% → 9.0% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$71

Buy

$76

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$71.9k

Buy

$110.8k

Sell

$38.9k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($71)
•7d whale net still positive ($71.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 9.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 13:43:39

91.0¢$99

YESBUY2026-08-04 13:43:39

9.0¢$10

NOBUY2026-08-04 10:51:12

91.0¢$46

YESBUY2026-08-04 10:51:12

9.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-04 08:19:59

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x4755…4158	$195.1k	$116.1k	$79.0k	$-37.1k
0xeb22…808a	$49.1k	$30.0k	$19.1k	$-10.9k
0xc021…1fa8	$48.3k	$48.3k	$0	$-48.3k
0x12df…6a3d	$26.0k	$16.4k	$9.5k	$-6.9k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xed10…d2e5	393	$406.7k	$-228.3k	2
0x4755…4158	110	$308.4k	$-45.9k	3
0x2e0b…8070	311	$293.1k	$-274.6k	4
0xc021…1fa8	394	$223.9k

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