Multi-outcome · 10 open · 21 closed hidden
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Volume $39.99MTraders 5,975Trades 470,242
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.37M
58.3%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.54M
22.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
7.6%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.88M
5.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.03M
4.5%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.73M
1.8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.49M
0.9%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.34M
0.5%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0xeb34…726813 mkts · $1.12M
- 0xa579…aad09 mkts · $734.3k
- 0x454c…bd226 mkts · $417.3k
- 0x13fa…954c14 mkts · $408.8k
- 0x44a1…bd218 mkts · $335.1k
- 0xd5b5…33649 mkts · $324.6k
- 0xcb01…7dfb8 mkts · $316.9k
- 0x21ff…0d7111 mkts · $263.4k
- 0xc3cd…816c14 mkts · $260.1k
- 0xeed8…35f014 mkts · $234.5k
- 0x0380…073d14 mkts · $222.9k
- 0xdc76…78422 mkts · $216.8k
- 0xc21e…021518 mkts · $191.7k
- 0xe72b…b0a03 mkts · $177.5k
- 0x7072…69ac9 mkts · $171.7k