0x0d03656e2a8161736c1165ad844c40d636e240804c220fc7d63565cfbe79422e
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $51.0k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 8.0% · CLOB volume $51.0k · whales 24h net $379 (12 wallets) · 7d net $6.6k · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
8.0%
Yes
Implied No
92.0%
No
Volume
$51.0k
CLOB
Traders
169
1,334 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.0% → 7.6% (+1.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$379
Buy
$2.3k
Sell
$1.9k
Whales
12
Last 7 days
Net flow
$6.6k
Buy
$13.5k
Sell
$6.9k
Whales
37
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | $24.5k | $9.9k | $14.5k | $4.6k |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $5.7k | $4.1k | $1.5k | $-2.6k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $3.8k | $2.7k | $1.1k | $-1.6k |
| 0x167a…91d5 | $3.0k | $2.7k | $280 | $-2.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | 1,059 | $124.6k | $-7.9k | 6 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 197 | $21.0k | $-9.4k | 5 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 207 | $16.6k | $-6.7k | 5 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | 145 | $16.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 7 total · Event board
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $102.7k
59.4%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
open · $90.2k
23.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $51.0k
8.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $53.1k
3.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $68.0k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $40.1k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $30.0k
1.8%
| 0x321e…9292 | $2.9k | $2.2k | $651 | $-1.6k |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $2.4k | $1.9k | $584 | $-1.3k |
| 0xe102…71df | $2.3k | $1.7k | $625 | $-1.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $2.0k | $2.0k | $0 | $-2.0k |
| 0x1d8c…757a | $1.8k | $1.3k | $521 | $-798 |
| 0xf524…8178 | $1.6k | $1.4k | $200 | $-1.2k |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | $1.6k | $1.5k | $100 | $-1.4k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $1.6k | $1.4k | $159 | $-1.3k |
| $-9.7k |
| 5 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 275 | $15.7k | $-7.5k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 251 | $15.0k | $-14.9k | 7 |
| 0x73bb…9473 | 91 | $14.3k | $8.5k | 2 |
| 0x29bb…f0f4 | 150 | $14.2k | $2.8k | 6 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | 164 | $12.1k | $-5.8k | 5 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 90 | $10.6k | $-2.4k | 2 |
