0x258cf80073b2deb3b08b53bd96715db3924458eb6d80ad670089cc639aa00260
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?” trades at 59% YES on Polymarket with $102.7k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 59.5% · CLOB volume $102.7k · whales 24h net $3.9k (21 wallets) · 7d net $8.4k · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
59.5%
Yes
Implied No
40.5%
No
Volume
$102.7k
CLOB
Traders
298
2,263 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
63.4% → 55.5% (-7.8pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.9k
Buy
$7.4k
Sell
$3.6k
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$8.4k
Buy
$15.9k
Sell
$7.6k
Whales
50
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | $27.4k | $16.5k | $10.9k | $-5.6k |
| 0x6640…2202 | $9.2k | $5.9k | $3.3k | $-2.6k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $6.3k | $4.4k | $1.9k | $-2.5k |
| 0x29bb…f0f4 | $5.5k | $4.5k | $1.1k | $-3.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | 1,059 | $124.6k | $-7.9k | 6 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 197 | $21.0k | $-9.4k | 5 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 207 | $16.6k | $-6.7k | 5 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | 145 | $16.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 7 total · Event board
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $102.7k
59.5%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
open · $90.2k
23.8%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $51.0k
8.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $53.1k
3.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $68.0k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $40.1k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $30.0k
1.8%
| 0x122c…fbed | $5.2k | $2.5k | $2.7k | $263 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $4.5k | $4.5k | $0 | $-4.5k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $3.5k | $3.5k | $0 | $-3.5k |
| 0x8ee2…bea6 | $3.4k | $1.7k | $1.7k | $-55 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $3.0k | $1.8k | $1.2k | $-586 |
| 0xbfb1…42b9 | $3.0k | $1.7k | $1.3k | $-412 |
| 0x1583…bdde | $2.8k | $2.0k | $826 | $-1.2k |
| 0xfe41…9f23 | $2.7k | $2.7k | $0 | $-2.7k |
| $-9.7k |
| 5 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 275 | $15.7k | $-7.5k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 251 | $15.0k | $-14.9k | 7 |
| 0x73bb…9473 | 91 | $14.3k | $8.5k | 2 |
| 0x29bb…f0f4 | 150 | $14.2k | $2.8k | 6 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | 164 | $12.1k | $-5.8k | 5 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 90 | $10.6k | $-2.4k | 2 |
