0x94f5db837b2d95d30fde488e64f5582b9e6ec0554a0d79a5e1715f3c3e42584f
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $40.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.6% · CLOB volume $40.1k · whales 24h net $75 (2 wallets) · 7d net $8.6k · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.6%
Yes
Implied No
97.4%
No
Volume
$40.1k
CLOB
Traders
232
1,635 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$75
Buy
$77
Sell
$2
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$8.6k
Buy
$9.2k
Sell
$561
Whales
22
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | $8.6k | $4.6k | $4.0k | $-540 |
| 0x4e39…8cbf | $4.9k | $4.9k | $0 | $-4.9k |
| 0xee67…67a6 | $3.0k | $2.9k | $63 | $-2.9k |
| 0x29bb…f0f4 | $2.9k | $6 | $2.9k | $2.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | 1,059 | $124.6k | $-7.9k | 6 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 197 | $21.0k | $-9.4k | 5 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 207 | $16.6k | $-6.7k | 5 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | 145 | $16.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 7 total · Event board
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $102.7k
59.4%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
open · $90.2k
23.9%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $51.0k
8.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $53.1k
3.4%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $68.0k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $40.1k
2.6%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
open · $30.0k
1.8%
| 0x7577…8fb9 | $2.2k | $7 | $2.2k | $2.2k |
| 0x0873…09e8 | $1.9k | $1.9k | $0 | $-1.9k |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $4 | $-1.5k |
| 0x1d8c…757a | $1.4k | $1.4k | $4 | $-1.4k |
| 0x4ffe…9f71 | $1.4k | $701 | $683 | $-18 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $1.4k | $1.4k | $3 | $-1.4k |
| 0xf83e…4663 | $1.3k | $1.3k | $4 | $-1.3k |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $5 | $-1.1k |
| $-9.7k |
| 5 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 275 | $15.7k | $-7.5k | 7 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 251 | $15.0k | $-14.9k | 7 |
| 0x73bb…9473 | 91 | $14.3k | $8.5k | 2 |
| 0x29bb…f0f4 | 150 | $14.2k | $2.8k | 6 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | 164 | $12.1k | $-5.8k | 5 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 90 | $10.6k | $-2.4k | 2 |
