0x0daa39497ba1954a17991dda682e5d3e582f1d6a19759f2eb6b12f15ebac04c6
As of Sep 10, 2026, “US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?” trades at 53% YES on Polymarket with $198.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 52.5% · CLOB volume $198.3k · whales 24h net $57.0k (129 wallets) · 7d net $104.1k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
52.5%
Yes
Implied No
47.5%
No
Volume
$198.3k
CLOB
Traders
1,028
4,478 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
46.0% → 51.0% (+5.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$57.0k
Buy
$105.0k
Sell
$47.9k
Whales
129
Last 7 days
Net flow
$104.1k
Buy
$201.3k
Sell
$97.1k
Whales
249
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5a21…9318 | $22.3k | $13.4k | $8.8k | $-4.6k |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | $21.2k | $14.1k | $7.1k | $-7.0k |
| 0xda91…9ffd | $16.1k | $8.8k | $7.3k | $-1.5k |
| 0x2132…7657 | $12.6k | $7.1k | $5.4k | $-1.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5a21…9318 | 171 | $22.3k | $-4.6k | 1 |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | 116 | $21.2k | $-7.0k | 1 |
| 0xda91…9ffd | 332 | $16.1k | $-1.5k | 1 |
| 0x2132…7657 | 267 | $12.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
open · $198.1k
52.0%
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | $11.4k | $6.5k | $4.9k | $-1.6k |
| 0x853c…bd03 | $10.2k | $6.6k | $3.5k | $-3.1k |
| 0xbfe2…1913 | $9.1k | $4.0k | $5.1k | $1.0k |
| 0x7a3c…977c | $9.1k | $6.7k | $2.4k | $-4.2k |
| 0xc3db…0f98 | $7.7k | $3.9k | $3.7k | $-157 |
| 0xc91b…93bd | $7.3k | $5.7k | $1.6k | $-4.1k |
| 0xeca0…e8f8 | $7.1k | $3.9k | $3.3k | $-570 |
| 0x5eb0…5012 | $6.9k | $5.8k | $1.1k | $-4.7k |
| $-1.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 111 | $11.4k | $-1.6k | 1 |
| 0x853c…bd03 | 48 | $10.2k | $-3.1k | 1 |
| 0xbfe2…1913 | 61 | $9.1k | $1.0k | 1 |
| 0x7a3c…977c | 63 | $9.1k | $-4.2k | 1 |
| 0xc3db…0f98 | 33 | $7.7k | $-157 | 1 |
| 0xc91b…93bd | 184 | $7.3k | $-4.1k | 1 |
