0x183c66ad40044a23ac069e3ac5c01681de5e6cb7a04f421c829407e25109f1e2
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?” trades at 99% YES on Polymarket with $37.6k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 98.8% · CLOB volume $37.6k · whales 24h net $163 (18 wallets) · 7d net $5.4k · 2/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
98.8%
Yes
Implied No
1.2%
No
Volume
$37.6k
CLOB
Traders
151
460 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
97.9% → 99.6% (+1.7pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$163
Buy
$2.6k
Sell
$2.4k
Whales
18
Last 7 days
Net flow
$5.4k
Buy
$24.5k
Sell
$19.0k
Whales
71
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $12.5k | $11.9k | $591 | $-11.3k |
| 0x11f8…ed31 | $8.3k | $214 | $8.1k | $7.9k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $5.3k | $3.0k | $2.3k | $-656 |
| 0xef97…ab2c | $4.0k | $4.0k | $0 | $-4.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb100…6461 | 395 | $93.5k | $-15.1k | 3 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 1,558 | $59.1k | $-59.1k | 1 |
| 0x11f8…ed31 | 200 | $45.3k | $-241 | 3 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 434 | $43.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 6 total · Event board
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
open · $37.6k
98.8%
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
open · $193.7k
89.5%
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
closed · $644.2k
0.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
closed · $92.2k
0.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?
closed · $61.7k
0.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?
closed · $19.1k
0.0%
| 0x0097…4a1d | $3.0k | $60 | $2.9k | $2.9k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $2.1k | $1.4k | $694 | $-724 |
| 0x47c1…825f | $2.1k | $75 | $2.0k | $1.9k |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $1.7k | $1.3k | $382 | $-960 |
| 0xc93f…445d | $1.0k | $30 | $1.0k | $988 |
| 0x4ffe…9f71 | $1.0k | $1.0k | $0 | $-1.0k |
| 0x1191…c092 | $1.0k | $897 | $123 | $-775 |
| 0x5a7b…e9eb | $978 | $978 | $0 | $-978 |
| $-5.0k |
| 3 |
| 0x5a7b…e9eb | 169 | $29.1k | $-8.7k | 3 |
| 0x1191…c092 | 142 | $28.4k | $-12.2k | 3 |
| 0x0042…321e | 26 | $26.9k | $10.8k | 1 |
| 0xec45…c94a | 60 | $26.5k | $3.2k | 1 |
| 0xe234…304a | 111 | $24.2k | $-1.8k | 1 |
| 0x876b…1703 | 70 | $23.5k | $-2.6k | 2 |
