0x092f0fc94b42a22d82d38ea96a905a3624bb57d8f5fea2d503a7a3f0230cb766
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?” trades at 89% YES on Polymarket with $190.9k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 88.5% · CLOB volume $190.9k · whales 24h net $11.0k (95 wallets) · 7d net $74.4k · 2/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
88.5%
Yes
Implied No
11.5%
No
Volume
$190.9k
CLOB
Traders
462
2,915 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
92.0% → 85.0% (-7.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$11.0k
Buy
$31.7k
Sell
$20.7k
Whales
95
Last 7 days
Net flow
$74.4k
Buy
$152.7k
Sell
$78.3k
Whales
230
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb100…6461 | $63.2k | $28.4k | $34.8k | $6.4k |
| 0x1191…c092 | $24.4k | $17.8k | $6.5k | $-11.3k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $19.2k | $10.4k | $8.7k | $-1.7k |
| 0x11f8…ed31 | $17.0k | $9.7k | $7.3k | $-2.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb100…6461 | 395 | $93.5k | $-15.1k | 3 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 1,558 | $59.1k | $-59.1k | 1 |
| 0x11f8…ed31 | 200 | $45.3k | $-241 | 3 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 421 | $41.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 6 total · Event board
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?
open · $37.6k
98.9%
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
open · $190.9k
88.5%
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
closed · $644.2k
0.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
closed · $92.2k
0.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?
closed · $61.7k
0.0%
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?
closed · $19.1k
0.0%
| 0x4f71…1721 | $9.1k | $7.1k | $2.0k | $-5.2k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $8.3k | $5.5k | $2.8k | $-2.7k |
| 0x2110…5850 | $8.1k | $7.1k | $961 | $-6.2k |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $6.4k | $2.2k | $4.2k | $1.9k |
| 0x1cfc…2111 | $6.1k | $6.1k | $0 | $-6.1k |
| 0x7365…64da | $5.3k | $2.3k | $2.9k | $607 |
| 0x9aeb…2729 | $5.2k | $4.3k | $887 | $-3.4k |
| 0x0097…4a1d | $4.7k | $2.5k | $2.2k | $-230 |
| $-5.0k |
| 3 |
| 0x5a7b…e9eb | 169 | $29.1k | $-8.7k | 3 |
| 0x1191…c092 | 142 | $28.4k | $-12.2k | 3 |
| 0x0042…321e | 26 | $26.9k | $10.8k | 1 |
| 0xec45…c94a | 60 | $26.5k | $3.2k | 1 |
| 0xe234…304a | 111 | $24.2k | $-1.8k | 1 |
| 0x876b…1703 | 70 | $23.5k | $-2.6k | 2 |
