0x3b32ef6897c33e7cac03641f3b16f25de3bbba86c48193ae7250b81bd5dc8e36
As of Aug 23, 2026, “Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?” trades at 75% YES on Polymarket with $9.5k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 74.5% · CLOB volume $9.5k · whales 24h net $224 (13 wallets) · 7d net $2.6k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
74.5%
Yes
Implied No
25.5%
No
Volume
$9.5k
CLOB
Traders
127
627 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
83.0% → 73.0% (-10.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$224
Buy
$470
Sell
$245
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$4.8k
Sell
$2.2k
Whales
52
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb2e3…9530 | $2.4k | $1.1k | $1.3k | $188 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | $2.1k | $1.2k | $919 | $-242 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | $1.8k | $824 | $945 | $121 |
| 0xa0f5…0456 | $1.1k | $510 | $559 | $49 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 184 | $8.9k | $58 | 3 |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | 59 | $3.4k | $17 | 1 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | 335 | $3.3k | $619 | 6 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 41 | $3.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $9.5k
74.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $13.6k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.1k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.9k
0.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.5k
0.4%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
closed · $1.2k
0.1%
| 0x2b59…9db6 | $734 | $319 | $415 | $97 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $570 | $570 | $0 | $-570 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $514 | $247 | $267 | $20 |
| 0x52eb…67ac | $514 | $514 | $0 | $-514 |
| 0x4535…4007 | $509 | $234 | $275 | $40 |
| 0x26e7…48af | $476 | $401 | $75 | $-325 |
| 0x270b…e632 | $464 | $365 | $99 | $-267 |
| 0x8fe7…6c1f | $447 | $201 | $246 | $44 |
| $-270 |
| 4 |
| 0xb2e3…9530 | 79 | $2.4k | $188 | 1 |
| 0x8fe7…6c1f | 27 | $1.6k | $-772 | 5 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | 127 | $1.2k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0xca75…0a64 | 27 | $1.1k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 63 | $1.1k | $-859 | 6 |
| 0xa0f5…0456 | 36 | $1.1k | $49 | 1 |
