Multi-outcome · 5 open · 1 closed hidden
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
Volume $38.7kTraders 187Trades 2,221
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $9.5k
74.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $13.7k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.1k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.9k
0.5%
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