0x47fd8303835d9108252343069ada769162976137e4e1c22b94b1cb305cd35d8a
As of Aug 24, 2026, “Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?” trades at 14% YES on Polymarket with $3.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 13.6% · CLOB volume $3.1k · whales 24h net $1 (2 wallets) · 7d net $693 · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
13.6%
Yes
Implied No
86.4%
No
Volume
$3.1k
CLOB
Traders
60
265 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1
Buy
$31
Sell
$30
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$693
Buy
$1.0k
Sell
$316
Whales
22
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2b59…9db6 | $633 | $294 | $339 | $45 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | $334 | $334 | $0 | $-334 |
| 0x8fe7…6c1f | $289 | $280 | $9 | $-271 |
| 0xfd55…f905 | $244 | $243 | $1 | $-243 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 184 | $8.9k | $58 | 3 |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | 59 | $3.4k | $17 | 1 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | 335 | $3.3k | $619 | 6 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 44 | $3.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $9.5k
75.0%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.1k
13.6%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $13.7k
4.9%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.9k
0.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.5k
0.4%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
closed · $1.2k
0.1%
| 0x686d…1a68 | $188 | $3 | $186 | $183 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $185 | $182 | $4 | $-178 |
| 0x3423…fe57 | $182 | $29 | $153 | $124 |
| 0x613b…da44 | $147 | $147 | $0 | $-147 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $140 | $140 | $0 | $-140 |
| 0xa5a6…d3ab | $136 | $97 | $39 | $-58 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | $102 | $12 | $90 | $78 |
| 0x07ee…8dfe | $97 | $80 | $17 | $-63 |
| $-321 |
| 4 |
| 0xb2e3…9530 | 79 | $2.4k | $188 | 1 |
| 0x8fe7…6c1f | 27 | $1.6k | $-772 | 5 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | 127 | $1.2k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0xca75…0a64 | 27 | $1.1k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 63 | $1.1k | $-859 | 6 |
| 0xa0f5…0456 | 36 | $1.1k | $49 | 1 |
