0x92d9b1b2184185bcd2f636f8b1c00d2e8900037541c5530b31cd241a2eab239b
As of Aug 23, 2026, “Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $13.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.8% · CLOB volume $13.7k · whales 24h net $159 (6 wallets) · 7d net $1.4k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.8%
Yes
Implied No
95.2%
No
Volume
$13.7k
CLOB
Traders
138
700 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.5% → 1.5% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$159
Buy
$160
Sell
$1
Whales
6
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.4k
Buy
$2.3k
Sell
$872
Whales
34
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | $6.8k | $3.2k | $3.5k | $300 |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | $3.4k | $1.7k | $1.7k | $17 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | $1.2k | $879 | $360 | $-520 |
| 0xca75…0a64 | $809 | $809 | $0 | $-809 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 184 | $8.9k | $58 | 3 |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | 59 | $3.4k | $17 | 1 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | 335 | $3.3k | $619 | 6 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 41 | $3.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $9.5k
74.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $13.6k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.1k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.9k
0.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.5k
0.4%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
closed · $1.2k
0.1%
| 0x6f67…102c | $604 | $603 | $1 | $-602 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | $589 | $228 | $361 | $133 |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8 | $502 | $502 | $0 | $-502 |
| 0x52eb…67ac | $468 | $468 | $0 | $-468 |
| 0xb13c…fc9b | $456 | $279 | $177 | $-103 |
| 0xfe41…9f23 | $374 | $374 | $0 | $-374 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $363 | $162 | $201 | $39 |
| 0x26e7…48af | $361 | $240 | $121 | $-119 |
| $-270 |
| 4 |
| 0xb2e3…9530 | 79 | $2.4k | $188 | 1 |
| 0x8fe7…6c1f | 27 | $1.6k | $-772 | 5 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | 127 | $1.2k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0xca75…0a64 | 27 | $1.1k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 63 | $1.1k | $-859 | 6 |
| 0xa0f5…0456 | 36 | $1.1k | $49 | 1 |
