0xa30d0d62ddebe5a59d1567e5a95445b8e1dda8c9884f4342b4680000205d5f58
As of Aug 23, 2026, “Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $2.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $2.9k · whales 24h net $180 (5 wallets) · 7d net $423 · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$2.9k
CLOB
Traders
44
230 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$180
Buy
$180
Sell
$0
Whales
5
Last 7 days
Net flow
$423
Buy
$562
Sell
$139
Whales
12
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x907d…20c4 | $520 | $520 | $0 | $-520 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | $481 | $203 | $277 | $74 |
| 0x686d…1a68 | $397 | $2 | $395 | $393 |
| 0x8fe7…6c1f | $280 | $280 | $0 | $-279 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | 184 | $8.9k | $58 | 3 |
| 0xa58d…b9b8 | 59 | $3.4k | $17 | 1 |
| 0x2b59…9db6 | 335 | $3.3k | $619 | 6 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 42 | $3.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $9.5k
74.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $13.7k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $3.1k
4.8%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.9k
0.5%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
open · $2.5k
0.4%
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
closed · $1.2k
0.1%
| 0x764b…6bad | $260 | $259 | $1 | $-259 |
| 0x613b…da44 | $194 | $194 | $0 | $-194 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $185 | $185 | $0 | $-184 |
| 0x3423…fe57 | $175 | $5 | $170 | $165 |
| 0x07ee…8dfe | $157 | $157 | $1 | $-156 |
| 0x4aa3…11ce | $100 | $100 | $0 | $-100 |
| 0xc518…2594 | $76 | $76 | $0 | $-76 |
| 0x8373…f0bc | $59 | $59 | $0 | $-59 |
| $-350 |
| 4 |
| 0xb2e3…9530 | 79 | $2.4k | $188 | 1 |
| 0x8fe7…6c1f | 27 | $1.6k | $-772 | 5 |
| 0x907d…20c4 | 127 | $1.2k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0xca75…0a64 | 27 | $1.1k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | 63 | $1.1k | $-859 | 6 |
| 0xa0f5…0456 | 36 | $1.1k | $49 | 1 |
