Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?

0x3d7540115867219195e1385b619a7c472ac732062552f51738616bcdf6923221

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 93.5% · CLOB volume $6.4k · whales 24h net $47 (2 wallets) · 7d net $199 · 21/26 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

93.5%

Yes

Implied No

6.5%

Volume

$6.4k

CLOB

Traders

127

582 trades

Yes 93.5%No 6.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$47

Buy

$50

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$199

Buy

$208

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 93.5%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($47)
•7d whale net still positive ($199)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($6.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 15:46:21

94.0¢$47

YESBUY2026-08-04 15:46:21

6.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:35:45

108.7¢$84

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:35:45

92.0¢$24

NOBUY2026-08-02 00:35:45

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0034…d5a8	$723	$425	$299	$-126
0xe907…cff6	$303	$170	$133	$-37
0x7d26…a7d1	$300	$196	$103	$-93
0xad53…ef24	$288	$205	$83	$-122

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x9d73…216b	6	$12.5k	$-408	1
0x4d01…1645	48	$7.4k	$-6.0k	2
0xc550…272d	86	$7.4k	$-5.9k	9
0x05ed…bf70	10	$6.0k

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