Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?

0x40c2dd3dc9e6fb511e58e2a67141b66a97aa569e6b59c9b1f14f65e734c173d1

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 5.4% · CLOB volume $11.7k · whales 24h net $0 (2 wallets) · 7d net $528 · 21/26 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.4%

Yes

Implied No

94.6%

Volume

$11.7k

CLOB

Traders

159

877 trades

Yes 5.4%No 94.6%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$528

Buy

$811

Sell

$284

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($0)
•7d whale net still positive ($528)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.4% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($11.7k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 19:31:38

108.5¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-03 19:31:38

1282.1¢$0

YESBUY2026-08-03 02:31:14

4.4¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-03 02:31:14

2272.7¢$14

NOBUY2026-08-02 23:32:44

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x9178…a2b2	$2.4k	$1.3k	$1.1k	$-160
0xc550…272d	$1.0k	$1.0k	$0	$-1.0k
0x9437…e75f	$1.0k	$896	$113	$-782
0x3bfe…07a5	$680	$400	$280	$-120

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x9d73…216b	6	$12.5k	$-408	1
0x4d01…1645	48	$7.4k	$-6.0k	2
0xc550…272d	85	$7.2k	$-5.7k	9
0x05ed…bf70	10	$6.0k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API