Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

0x77abd7f7b1d92d7273479a8e12aa200641a82fc73053dd73502091ac14cce524

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 33.0% · CLOB volume $17.9k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $86 · 21/26 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

33.0%

Yes

Implied No

67.0%

Volume

$17.9k

CLOB

Traders

210

1,917 trades

Yes 33.0%No 67.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$86

Buy

$175

Sell

$89

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($86)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 33.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($17.9k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 23:09:33

153.8¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-02 23:09:33

65.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-08-02 19:07:21

65.0¢$3

YESBUY2026-08-02 19:07:21

35.0¢$2

—BUY2026-08-02 06:05:59

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xdaad…69cc	$1.5k	$693	$851	$158
0xefde…783d	$1.0k	$1.0k	$32	$-978
0x1452…449c	$666	$329	$336	$7
0x6b49…2e46	$509	$363	$147	$-216

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x9d73…216b	6	$12.5k	$-408	1
0x4d01…1645	48	$7.4k	$-6.0k	2
0xc550…272d	86	$7.4k	$-5.9k	9
0x05ed…bf70	10	$6.0k

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