Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0x61fc517c2b0d6f945868070a3ac722bfa35f07154d34bec2f9bfe41436098bce

As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $205.3k total volume.

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $205.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 4/18 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$205.3k

CLOB

Traders

293

4,139 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-09-05 22:40:28

99.9¢$14

—BUY2026-09-05 22:40:28

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-09-05 22:40:28

99.9¢$30

—BUY2026-09-05 22:40:28

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-09-05 22:40:28

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x511f…cbe1	$20.7k	$20.7k	$21	$-20.7k
0xb0c8…fe7f	$12.7k	$12.7k	$13	$-12.7k
0x0380…073d	$7.8k	$7.8k	$9	$-7.8k
0x5a21…9318	$4.3k	$4.3k	$4	$-4.3k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x511f…cbe1	599	$320.9k	$-297.8k	16
0xb0c8…fe7f	2,492	$218.2k	$-199.0k	17
0xbca8…b680	970	$211.0k	$-31.0k	4
0xeb49…693e	597	$200.6k

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