0x8ee27c276a1bee094293751285d8a6697674b023196cb21fdd14bf3ca12f6ec0
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” trades at 29% YES on Polymarket with $875.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 29.3% · CLOB volume $875.3k · whales 24h net $15.9k (85 wallets) · 7d net $114.0k · 4/18 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
29.3%
Yes
Implied No
70.8%
No
Volume
$875.3k
CLOB
Traders
1,204
16,262 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
31.9% → 28.3% (-3.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$15.9k
Buy
$28.3k
Sell
$12.3k
Whales
85
Last 7 days
Net flow
$114.0k
Buy
$220.9k
Sell
$106.9k
Whales
203
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xaabf…8b8b | $101.1k | $56.1k | $45.0k | $-11.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $73.9k | $73.9k | $0 | $-73.9k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $65.6k | $36.8k | $28.8k | $-8.0k |
| 0xeb49…693e | $57.1k | $24.4k | $32.8k | $8.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 599 | $320.9k | $-297.8k | 16 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 2,492 | $218.2k | $-199.0k | 17 |
| 0xbca8…b680 | 970 | $211.0k | $-31.0k | 4 |
| 0xeb49…693e | 597 | $200.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 18 total · Event board
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $1.05M
68.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $875.3k
29.3%
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $1.36M
0.4%
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
open · $263.1k
0.1%
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $810.5k
0.1%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $750.2k
0.1%
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $508.0k
0.1%
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $421.7k
0.1%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $274.6k
0.1%
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $231.0k
0.1%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $229.0k
0.1%
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $207.8k
0.1%
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $205.3k
0.1%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $173.9k
0.1%
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $144.7k
0.1%
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $142.4k
0.1%
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $36.5k
0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
closed · $22.0k
0.1%
| 0x2344…6458 | $37.0k | $9.7k | $27.3k | $17.6k |
| 0x000d…758e | $32.9k | $27.9k | $5.1k | $-22.8k |
| 0x23d8…0288 | $30.5k | $21.5k | $8.9k | $-12.6k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $26.9k | $22.4k | $4.6k | $-17.8k |
| 0xe172…e8e0 | $26.5k | $17.0k | $9.5k | $-7.6k |
| 0xc46f…3130 | $25.1k | $20.8k | $4.3k | $-16.4k |
| 0x0380…073d | $25.0k | $17.2k | $7.8k | $-9.4k |
| 0x837f…86b7 | $23.3k | $15.6k | $7.7k | $-7.9k |
| $-42.5k |
| 2 |
| 0x0380…073d | 2,165 | $172.1k | $-143.5k | 16 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 1,263 | $139.0k | $-139.0k | 5 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 855 | $104.8k | $-89.3k | 16 |
| 0xaabf…8b8b | 1,502 | $101.6k | $-11.1k | 3 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 917 | $90.9k | $-9.1k | 4 |
| 0x1d8c…757a | 1,425 | $75.3k | $-57.9k | 16 |
