0x6c8a4426ea2278ce7936c770cbf4d66ad2dead1c8ee50e90232e0379f6f42562
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $550.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $550.4k · whales 24h net $2.0k (15 wallets) · 7d net $9.4k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.8%
No
Volume
$550.4k
CLOB
Traders
908
6,769 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.0k
Buy
$2.0k
Sell
$2
Whales
15
Last 7 days
Net flow
$9.4k
Buy
$9.7k
Sell
$266
Whales
31
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0380…073d | $4.4k | $4.3k | $61 | $-4.3k |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $4.3k | $4.3k | $8 | $-4.3k |
| 0x1d77…fdbe | $3.6k | $3.6k | $41 | $-3.6k |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $2.8k | $2.8k | $15 | $-2.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1186…051b | 190 | $62.9k | $-7.6k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 27 | $53.1k | $-53.0k | 4 |
| 0x34db…1b63 | 652 | $38.8k | $-6.5k | 3 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 158 | $23.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
open · $698.7k
63.5%
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
open · $459.1k
37.0%
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
open · $602.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
open · $550.4k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
open · $529.3k
0.1%
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
closed · $868.8k
0.1%
| 0x5a21…9318 | $2.1k | $2.1k | $6 | $-2.1k |
| 0x166a…d7ed | $2.0k | $2.0k | $28 | $-2.0k |
| 0x105b…b213 | $1.5k | $643 | $904 | $261 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $3 | $-1.1k |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $1 | $-1.1k |
| 0x4ae7…561f | $1.0k | $1.0k | $0 | $-1.0k |
| 0x7e3a…1fe5 | $813 | $586 | $226 | $-360 |
| 0xa9c7…d2dd | $682 | $341 | $341 | $-0 |
| $-19.8k |
| 6 |
| 0x0380…073d | 289 | $22.3k | $-18.6k | 6 |
| 0xd86d…648d | 49 | $18.8k | $-8.9k | 1 |
| 0x23d8…0288 | 96 | $14.4k | $-5.4k | 3 |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1 | 113 | $14.0k | $-11.4k | 2 |
| 0xf063…7893 | 151 | $13.6k | $-3.4k | 2 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 23 | $12.1k | $-12.0k | 2 |
