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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?Active 151 days left

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

0xecf2f4f2222e3393545e73f6ed219065c6bfa5c66db56a66541a4a20961fca26

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $802.9k · whales 24h net $-928 (9 wallets) · 7d net $822 · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$802.9k

CLOB

Traders

1,169

5,281 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$-928

Buy

$5.0k

Sell

$5.9k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$822

Buy

$6.8k

Sell

$6.0k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($822)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Whales net sellers 24h ($-928)
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 23:57:18

100000.0¢$5

—BUY2026-08-01 23:57:18

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-01 15:45:06

99.9¢$2

—BUY2026-08-01 15:45:06

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-01 15:28:53

99.9¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x23d8…0288	$10.3k	$10.2k	$10	$-10.2k
0x51b1…7865	$5.5k	$6	$5.5k	$5.5k
0x47fe…3a28	$5.5k	$2.5k	$3.0k	$497
0x92bb…1afb	$4.1k	$4.1k	$1	$-4.1k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x23d8…0288	193	$87.9k	$-28.5k	6
0x3069…f8ef	104	$20.3k	$-6.9k	3
0x34db…1b63	383	$19.3k	$-4.8k	4
0x51b1…7865	30	$18.5k

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