0x72c5472a2d524e74280de11032a18ef8d9c2736b41d657dd21323d134c606efd
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $14.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.5% · CLOB volume $14.7k · whales 24h net $953 (35 wallets) · 7d net $6.9k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.5%
Yes
Implied No
99.5%
No
Volume
$14.7k
CLOB
Traders
78
594 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.5% → 0.8% (+0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$953
Buy
$3.1k
Sell
$2.1k
Whales
35
Last 7 days
Net flow
$6.9k
Buy
$9.0k
Sell
$2.1k
Whales
48
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0380…073d | $2.4k | $2.4k | $61 | $-2.3k |
| 0xb607…60fb | $1.9k | $14 | $1.9k | $1.9k |
| 0xe055…8df9 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $0 | $-1.5k |
| 0xfe2d…da35 | $955 | $954 | $1 | $-953 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0380…073d | 188 | $9.3k | $-6.5k | 5 |
| 0xc3da…41fe | 136 | $8.6k | $6.5k | 1 |
| 0xe055…8df9 | 349 | $5.9k | $-5.9k | 3 |
| 0xb607…60fb | 66 | $5.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $28.6k
59.0%
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $40.0k
29.5%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $14.7k
0.5%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $12.0k
0.1%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $6.1k
0.1%
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $905 | $898 | $7 | $-892 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $727 | $726 | $1 | $-726 |
| 0xa328…4977 | $669 | $666 | $3 | $-663 |
| 0x764b…6bad | $628 | $627 | $1 | $-627 |
| 0x28bf…4a4e | $602 | $600 | $2 | $-598 |
| 0xe40a…e4a2 | $430 | $409 | $21 | $-389 |
| 0x7a16…4616 | $418 | $3 | $415 | $413 |
| 0xc518…2594 | $391 | $391 | $0 | $-391 |
| $3.6k |
| 2 |
| 0x0ffc…8236 | 59 | $5.1k | $-4.4k | 1 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | 138 | $4.2k | $-3.2k | 5 |
| 0x1d5f…634d | 62 | $4.1k | $-4.1k | 1 |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | 106 | $4.0k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x39c3…0c7e | 49 | $3.4k | $2.5k | 2 |
| 0x1c3e…176d | 32 | $3.2k | $-607 | 1 |
