0x64f55bc7bbe6775d0eb07686372ef8d08e0759f46793bcad5b5ad790ab1a775c
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 63% YES on Polymarket with $28.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 63.0% · CLOB volume $28.3k · whales 24h net $2.7k (81 wallets) · 7d net $5.7k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
63.0%
Yes
Implied No
37.0%
No
Volume
$28.3k
CLOB
Traders
177
996 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
14.0% → 62.0% (+48.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.7k
Buy
$5.6k
Sell
$2.9k
Whales
81
Last 7 days
Net flow
$5.7k
Buy
$17.6k
Sell
$11.9k
Whales
127
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc3da…41fe | $8.6k | $1.1k | $7.5k | $6.5k |
| 0x0380…073d | $3.0k | $3.0k | $2 | $-3.0k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $2.6k | $1.8k | $800 | $-987 |
| 0x82d9…eaf8 | $1.8k | $200 | $1.6k | $1.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0380…073d | 188 | $9.3k | $-6.5k | 5 |
| 0xc3da…41fe | 136 | $8.6k | $6.5k | 1 |
| 0xe055…8df9 | 337 | $5.8k | $-5.8k | 3 |
| 0xb607…60fb | 66 | $5.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $28.3k
63.0%
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $39.5k
36.5%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $14.7k
0.5%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $12.0k
0.1%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $6.1k
0.1%
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $35 | $-1.5k |
| 0x5073…16a7 | $1.5k | $824 | $636 | $-188 |
| 0xfb44…1482 | $1.3k | $330 | $985 | $655 |
| 0x7e59…7b8b | $1.1k | $737 | $375 | $-362 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | $1.1k | $458 | $651 | $194 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $904 | $904 | $0 | $-904 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $628 | $628 | $0 | $-628 |
| 0xa328…4977 | $604 | $596 | $8 | $-588 |
| $3.6k |
| 2 |
| 0x0ffc…8236 | 59 | $5.1k | $-4.4k | 1 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | 138 | $4.2k | $-3.2k | 5 |
| 0x1d5f…634d | 62 | $4.1k | $-4.1k | 1 |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | 106 | $4.0k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x39c3…0c7e | 49 | $3.4k | $2.5k | 2 |
| 0x1c3e…176d | 32 | $3.2k | $-607 | 1 |
