0xf97e2e2b845a3e5ce0646ce7563cca294f58b1c23affc38010386c08627075ac
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?” trades at 37% YES on Polymarket with $39.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 36.5% · CLOB volume $39.5k · whales 24h net $4.3k (97 wallets) · 7d net $9.2k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
36.5%
Yes
Implied No
63.5%
No
Volume
$39.5k
CLOB
Traders
232
1,550 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
83.0% → 35.0% (-48.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4.3k
Buy
$9.3k
Sell
$4.9k
Whales
97
Last 7 days
Net flow
$9.2k
Buy
$20.3k
Sell
$11.1k
Whales
137
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0ffc…8236 | $5.1k | $4.8k | $384 | $-4.4k |
| 0x1d5f…634d | $4.1k | $4.1k | $0 | $-4.1k |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | $4.0k | $3.7k | $299 | $-3.4k |
| 0xb607…60fb | $3.8k | $1.0k | $2.7k | $1.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0380…073d | 188 | $9.3k | $-6.5k | 5 |
| 0xc3da…41fe | 136 | $8.6k | $6.5k | 1 |
| 0xe055…8df9 | 337 | $5.8k | $-5.8k | 3 |
| 0xb607…60fb | 66 | $5.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 5 total · Event board
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $28.3k
63.0%
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $39.5k
36.5%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
open · $14.7k
0.5%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $12.0k
0.1%
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?
closed · $6.1k
0.1%
| 0x39c3…0c7e | $3.4k | $447 | $2.9k | $2.5k |
| 0x1c3e…176d | $3.2k | $1.9k | $1.3k | $-607 |
| 0xefdd…8370 | $2.8k | $1.4k | $1.3k | $-77 |
| 0x0380…073d | $1.5k | $203 | $1.3k | $1.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $0 | $-1.5k |
| 0x8429…64bd | $1.4k | $1.1k | $360 | $-694 |
| 0xa156…cf02 | $1.4k | $1.1k | $212 | $-933 |
| 0x6f67…102c | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| $3.6k |
| 2 |
| 0x0ffc…8236 | 59 | $5.1k | $-4.4k | 1 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | 138 | $4.2k | $-3.2k | 5 |
| 0x1d5f…634d | 62 | $4.1k | $-4.1k | 1 |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | 106 | $4.0k | $-3.4k | 1 |
| 0x39c3…0c7e | 49 | $3.4k | $2.5k | 2 |
| 0x1c3e…176d | 32 | $3.2k | $-607 | 1 |
