0x8e1e5c26dec73aee98230dc0ef93a294142587ca24190c4728d4b7ff831a22e0
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?” trades at 60% YES on Polymarket with $328.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 59.5% · CLOB volume $328.7k · whales 24h net $487 (20 wallets) · 7d net $9.4k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
59.5%
Yes
Implied No
40.5%
No
Volume
$328.7k
CLOB
Traders
745
20,072 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
62.0% → 60.0% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$487
Buy
$1.0k
Sell
$550
Whales
20
Last 7 days
Net flow
$9.4k
Buy
$17.7k
Sell
$8.4k
Whales
92
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd44e…67e2 | $26.9k | $17.8k | $9.2k | $-8.6k |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | $15.5k | $10.3k | $5.2k | $-5.1k |
| 0x7a86…f8e8 | $10.3k | $5.7k | $4.6k | $-1.1k |
| 0xa0bc…d428 | $9.9k | $6.9k | $3.1k | $-3.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7319…0299 | 839 | $135.2k | $14.7k | 4 |
| 0xd44e…67e2 | 154 | $59.6k | $-20.6k | 3 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 8 | $41.8k | $-16.7k | 1 |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | 621 | $37.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 5 total · Event board
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
open · $328.7k
59.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
open · $247.9k
25.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
open · $105.1k
4.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
closed · $413.4k
0.0%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?
closed · $18.7k
0.0%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $8.4k | $8.3k | $148 | $-8.2k |
| 0x9ca1…13b5 | $8.3k | $6.7k | $1.6k | $-5.1k |
| 0x7609…6c4e | $8.1k | $4.9k | $3.2k | $-1.6k |
| 0x2970…e1c9 | $7.1k | $5.0k | $2.1k | $-2.9k |
| 0xe958…66b7 | $6.9k | $4.3k | $2.6k | $-1.6k |
| 0xda3f…c282 | $6.8k | $6.8k | $0 | $-6.8k |
| 0x4fbf…f319 | $6.6k | $4.4k | $2.1k | $-2.3k |
| 0xd950…ad1b | $5.9k | $3.2k | $2.7k | $-559 |
| $-18.1k |
| 4 |
| 0x26ac…4aac | 4 | $30.4k | $-7.0k | 1 |
| 0xe958…66b7 | 291 | $28.1k | $-9.9k | 4 |
| 0x1425…f1a1 | 5 | $26.3k | $-6.1k | 1 |
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 6 | $25.7k | $-6.0k | 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 630 | $24.7k | $-24.4k | 4 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 52 | $24.7k | $-24.6k | 3 |
