0x253933f9dbecd421ec7b6f3d05ac80ee6008c24c4c8dc54077f383506c86a6c4
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $105.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.5% · CLOB volume $105.1k · whales 24h net $1.8k (21 wallets) · 7d net $27.5k · 3/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.5%
Yes
Implied No
95.5%
No
Volume
$105.1k
CLOB
Traders
295
1,588 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
6.0% → 4.0% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$3.0k
Sell
$1.2k
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$27.5k
Buy
$49.8k
Sell
$22.3k
Whales
124
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7319…0299 | $25.5k | $8.7k | $16.8k | $8.1k |
| 0xe958…66b7 | $10.3k | $7.3k | $3.0k | $-4.3k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $7.4k | $7.4k | $0 | $-7.4k |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | $5.4k | $5.4k | $15 | $-5.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7319…0299 | 839 | $135.2k | $14.7k | 4 |
| 0xd44e…67e2 | 154 | $59.6k | $-20.6k | 3 |
| 0x1e31…2c60 | 8 | $41.8k | $-16.7k | 1 |
| 0x97d3…3f3c | 621 | $37.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 5 total · Event board
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
open · $328.7k
59.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
open · $247.9k
25.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
open · $105.1k
4.5%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
closed · $413.4k
0.0%
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by June 30, 2026?
closed · $18.7k
0.0%
| 0x97d3…3f3c | $4.6k | $3.5k | $1.1k | $-2.4k |
| 0x3094…d680 | $4.2k | $2.5k | $1.7k | $-844 |
| 0xa6e6…d5b8 | $3.6k | $2.3k | $1.3k | $-1.1k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.5k | $3.5k | $0 | $-3.5k |
| 0x5b07…de95 | $3.3k | $2.4k | $923 | $-1.5k |
| 0x22a9…97ba | $3.0k | $1.7k | $1.3k | $-422 |
| 0x9765…436b | $2.9k | $1.7k | $1.2k | $-466 |
| 0x06ac…79ec | $2.6k | $2.6k | $0 | $-2.6k |
| $-18.1k |
| 4 |
| 0x26ac…4aac | 4 | $30.4k | $-7.0k | 1 |
| 0xe958…66b7 | 291 | $28.1k | $-9.9k | 4 |
| 0x1425…f1a1 | 5 | $26.3k | $-6.1k | 1 |
| 0xd00e…e4ea | 6 | $25.7k | $-6.0k | 1 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 630 | $24.7k | $-24.4k | 4 |
| 0x9648…6825 | 52 | $24.7k | $-24.6k | 3 |
