Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?

0xa656c3d0a13e7cac35fd8b9f0c877a01908b495679529f40b1a6938c1add781e

Resolved market

Market closed / resolved · winner Yes · final Yes 100.0% · CLOB volume $105.2k · 0/5 related markets still open.

Implied Yes

100.0%

Yes

Implied No

0.0%

Volume

$105.2k

CLOB

Traders

154

896 trades

Yes 100.0%No 0.0%

Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Resolved — winner Yes
•Final Yes 100.0%

Bear case

•No new risk — book not accepting orders
•Entire event slate is closed
•Use for historical tape / whale context only

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-24 16:59:57

100.1¢$4

NOBUY2026-07-24 16:59:57

99.9¢$4

NOBUY2026-07-24 16:58:24

99.9¢$10.2k

—BUY2026-07-24 16:58:24

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-07-24 16:58:24

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x122c…fbed	$52.6k	$27.7k	$24.9k	$-2.7k
0x4d0e…c45b	$10.2k	$10.2k	$10	$-10.2k
0x97ea…3363	$8.2k	$8.1k	$97	$-8.0k
0x21ff…0d71	$7.6k	$7.6k	$0	$-7.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	932	$105.9k	$-5.7k	3
0x4d0e…c45b	29	$53.0k	$-48.5k	4
0xe7bd…ebce	39	$47.2k	$-42.4k	5
0x9aeb…2729	69	$38.0k

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