0xc4aee530d8c0dd6ae4ca9191db2a9ef119b8ce2cf5bb5828ab5bfaeaa588ac4a
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $311.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.7% · CLOB volume $311.7k · whales 24h net $993 (28 wallets) · 7d net $5.1k · 4/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.7%
Yes
Implied No
98.3%
No
Volume
$311.7k
CLOB
Traders
101
297 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.6% → 2.0% (+1.4pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$993
Buy
$15.9k
Sell
$14.9k
Whales
28
Last 7 days
Net flow
$5.1k
Buy
$31.3k
Sell
$26.3k
Whales
45
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9f9e…4c57 | $24.4k | $9.3k | $15.1k | $5.8k |
| 0x9178…a2b2 | $19.5k | $9.4k | $10.1k | $763 |
| 0xa8ef…e9fc | $6.4k | $100 | $6.3k | $6.2k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $6.3k | $6.3k | $0 | $-6.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd5c1…5280 | 61 | $360.2k | $-18.0k | 1 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 567 | $348.1k | $15.4k | 4 |
| 0xebd3…446d | 43 | $328.4k | $-110.6k | 1 |
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | 81 | $271.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 12 total · Event board
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
open · $595.0k
22.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
open · $187.1k
18.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open · $2.59M
9.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
open · $311.7k
1.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
closed · $2.56M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
closed · $1.65M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
closed · $1.44M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
closed · $1.22M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
closed · $1.34M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
closed · $330.3k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
closed · $221.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
closed · $129.3k
0.0%
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $5.9k | $5.9k | $18 | $-5.8k |
| 0x75ac…33d7 | $5.3k | $5.3k | $0 | $-5.3k |
| 0xff7c…b233 | $3.9k | $3.2k | $633 | $-2.6k |
| 0x97d1…18ef | $3.0k | $2.0k | $1.0k | $-991 |
| 0x71ab…f015 | $1.4k | $1.4k | $0 | $-1.4k |
| 0xdb40…3612 | $1.4k | $1.4k | $0 | $-1.4k |
| 0x10af…de20 | $1.3k | $1.3k | $15 | $-1.3k |
| 0x4ffe…9f71 | $1.3k | $1.3k | $0 | $-1.3k |
| $-143.8k |
| 3 |
| 0x15e6…3c2b | 232 | $264.2k | $55.3k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 242 | $201.3k | $-198.9k | 3 |
| 0x453a…81d2 | 389 | $191.1k | $10.9k | 4 |
| 0xc96c…6a98 | 133 | $158.3k | $-31.8k | 1 |
| 0x8792…4174 | 603 | $146.1k | $-28.6k | 4 |
| 0xa5fd…36d1 | 194 | $136.6k | $-50.1k | 2 |
