0x95fc6a4ed7f6856d26aa7f21b9f902d05c9cf76b616fd3463de4d147f7a9126b
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?” trades at 9% YES on Polymarket with $2.59M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 9.0% · CLOB volume $2.59M · whales 24h net $25.6k (137 wallets) · 7d net $90.6k · 4/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
9.0%
Yes
Implied No
91.0%
No
Volume
$2.59M
CLOB
Traders
2,211
17,175 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
3.2% → 8.5% (+5.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$25.6k
Buy
$79.7k
Sell
$54.0k
Whales
137
Last 7 days
Net flow
$90.6k
Buy
$197.8k
Sell
$107.1k
Whales
206
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6139…6b7a | $200.2k | $62.4k | $137.8k | $75.5k |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | $129.5k | $81.0k | $48.5k | $-32.6k |
| 0x453a…81d2 | $121.4k | $72.6k | $48.8k | $-23.8k |
| 0xeb49…693e | $74.4k | $42.6k | $31.8k | $-10.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd5c1…5280 | 61 | $360.2k | $-18.0k | 1 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 567 | $348.1k | $15.4k | 4 |
| 0xebd3…446d | 43 | $328.4k | $-110.6k | 1 |
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | 81 | $271.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 12 total · Event board
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
open · $596.6k
22.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
open · $188.6k
18.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open · $2.59M
8.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
open · $311.7k
1.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
closed · $2.56M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
closed · $1.65M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
closed · $1.44M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
closed · $1.22M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
closed · $1.34M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
closed · $330.3k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
closed · $221.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
closed · $129.3k
0.0%
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | $71.3k | $70.0k | $1.2k | $-68.8k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $63.1k | $63.1k | $0 | $-63.1k |
| 0xee31…4735 | $56.0k | $29.4k | $26.7k | $-2.7k |
| 0x8792…4174 | $53.5k | $32.9k | $20.5k | $-12.4k |
| 0xa9fe…f135 | $45.0k | $36.3k | $8.7k | $-27.6k |
| 0xf678…a255 | $41.8k | $28.1k | $13.7k | $-14.4k |
| 0x174b…5a55 | $41.4k | $23.8k | $17.6k | $-6.2k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $41.0k | $41.0k | $0 | $-41.0k |
| $-143.8k |
| 3 |
| 0x15e6…3c2b | 232 | $264.2k | $55.3k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 242 | $201.3k | $-198.9k | 3 |
| 0x453a…81d2 | 389 | $191.1k | $10.9k | 4 |
| 0xc96c…6a98 | 133 | $158.3k | $-31.8k | 1 |
| 0x8792…4174 | 603 | $146.1k | $-28.6k | 4 |
| 0xa5fd…36d1 | 194 | $136.6k | $-50.1k | 2 |
