0xd8659b58a90d0d69fb1170f25b2b896871a1328115fd11c6f4cfe2b01a2a8ba0
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?” trades at 19% YES on Polymarket with $1.02M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 18.5% · CLOB volume $1.02M · whales 24h net $33.0k (56 wallets) · 7d net $179.0k · 3/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
18.5%
Yes
Implied No
81.5%
No
Volume
$1.02M
CLOB
Traders
823
6,917 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
21.0% → 18.0% (-3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$33.0k
Buy
$51.9k
Sell
$19.0k
Whales
56
Last 7 days
Net flow
$179.0k
Buy
$313.3k
Sell
$134.3k
Whales
196
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x88c4…129a | $86.9k | $59.5k | $27.4k | $-32.1k |
| 0x2974…9c23 | $72.0k | $56.6k | $15.4k | $-41.2k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $63.8k | $39.8k | $24.0k | $-15.8k |
| 0x453a…81d2 | $49.8k | $12.7k | $37.1k | $24.4k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa894…bf95 | 90 | $625.1k | $-213.2k | 1 |
| 0xe130…4caa | 68 | $623.5k | $-206.2k | 1 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 821 | $449.0k | $-38.9k | 5 |
| 0x453a…81d2 | 629 | $383.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 12 total · Event board
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
open · $1.02M
18.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
open · $579.5k
10.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open · $3.62M
1.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
closed · $831.1k
0.1%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
closed · $2.56M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
closed · $1.65M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
closed · $1.44M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
closed · $1.22M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
closed · $1.34M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
closed · $330.3k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
closed · $221.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
closed · $129.3k
0.0%
| 0x2106…4dea | $47.1k | $33.0k | $14.1k | $-18.9k |
| 0x8792…4174 | $39.8k | $22.9k | $16.9k | $-6.1k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $29.5k | $20.5k | $9.0k | $-11.5k |
| 0xc682…17bb | $28.7k | $23.2k | $5.5k | $-17.7k |
| 0x5ccf…79d7 | $25.9k | $21.6k | $4.3k | $-17.2k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $24.1k | $10.8k | $13.3k | $2.4k |
| 0xa8b9…6b7c | $21.8k | $10.7k | $11.2k | $520 |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | $18.9k | $15.8k | $3.1k | $-12.8k |
| $7.9k |
| 4 |
| 0xd5c1…5280 | 61 | $360.2k | $-18.0k | 1 |
| 0xebd3…446d | 43 | $328.4k | $-110.6k | 1 |
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | 106 | $322.1k | $-204.2k | 3 |
| 0x15e6…3c2b | 278 | $295.4k | $31.7k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 207 | $173.8k | $-171.1k | 4 |
| 0xa91e…09e0 | 787 | $171.4k | $-36.3k | 1 |
