0x9bb80411fb159d9f3798fe125672a61af141f7dc7d5465c14a5936e4ba878e49
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?” trades at 18% YES on Polymarket with $189.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 18.0% · CLOB volume $189.1k · whales 24h net $28.1k (78 wallets) · 7d net $44.1k · 4/12 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
18.0%
Yes
Implied No
82.0%
No
Volume
$189.1k
CLOB
Traders
113
518 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
9.0% → 19.0% (+10.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$28.1k
Buy
$77.9k
Sell
$49.9k
Whales
78
Last 7 days
Net flow
$44.1k
Buy
$129.1k
Sell
$84.9k
Whales
102
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | $48.6k | $48.6k | $0 | $-48.6k |
| 0x551e…b0e0 | $35.4k | $4.3k | $31.0k | $26.7k |
| 0x453a…81d2 | $24.9k | $3.6k | $21.4k | $17.8k |
| 0x6139…6b7a | $16.0k | $6.3k | $9.6k | $3.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd5c1…5280 | 61 | $360.2k | $-18.0k | 1 |
| 0x6139…6b7a | 567 | $348.1k | $15.4k | 4 |
| 0xebd3…446d | 43 | $328.4k | $-110.6k | 1 |
| 0x17e3…9ba5 | 81 | $271.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 12 total · Event board
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
open · $596.6k
22.5%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
open · $188.6k
18.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
open · $2.59M
8.2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?
open · $311.7k
1.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
closed · $2.56M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
closed · $1.65M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
closed · $1.44M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
closed · $1.22M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
closed · $1.34M
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
closed · $330.3k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
closed · $221.1k
0.0%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
closed · $129.3k
0.0%
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | $8.3k | $6.9k | $1.5k | $-5.4k |
| 0xd3ec…6603 | $7.4k | $6.4k | $987 | $-5.4k |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | $6.8k | $2.5k | $4.2k | $1.7k |
| 0x9178…a2b2 | $6.5k | $4.7k | $1.8k | $-3.0k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $5.0k | $5.0k | $0 | $-5.0k |
| 0x8792…4174 | $5.0k | $3.7k | $1.3k | $-2.4k |
| 0xc961…db04 | $4.9k | $1.0k | $3.9k | $2.9k |
| 0x5ff7…f7f0 | $3.6k | $2.6k | $1.0k | $-1.5k |
| $-143.8k |
| 3 |
| 0x15e6…3c2b | 232 | $264.2k | $55.3k | 2 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 242 | $201.3k | $-198.9k | 3 |
| 0x453a…81d2 | 389 | $191.1k | $10.9k | 4 |
| 0xc96c…6a98 | 133 | $158.3k | $-31.8k | 1 |
| 0x8792…4174 | 603 | $146.1k | $-28.6k | 4 |
| 0xa5fd…36d1 | 194 | $136.6k | $-50.1k | 2 |
