0xc4ebab9f2830f6df67ab1b98615d5a9be8eebd106fd0f37e9a25e4a4edcc427c
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 30.1% · CLOB volume $436.6k · whales 24h net $12.2k (52 wallets) · 7d net $122.8k · 16/19 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
30.1%
Yes
Implied No
69.9%
No
Volume
$436.6k
CLOB
Traders
468
4,873 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
29.9% → 30.2% (+0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$12.2k
Buy
$24.5k
Sell
$12.4k
Whales
52
Last 7 days
Net flow
$122.8k
Buy
$225.4k
Sell
$102.6k
Whales
148
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x60a9…5a71 | $59.1k | $32.5k | $26.5k | $-6.0k |
| 0xbf4d…33ed | $48.4k | $23.4k | $25.0k | $1.6k |
| 0xa551…e050 | $46.0k | $27.8k | $18.2k | $-9.5k |
| 0xa65c…7997 | $34.1k | $19.0k | $15.1k | $-3.9k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbf4d…33ed | 1,097 | $132.3k | $-9.5k | 5 |
| 0xa65c…7997 | 479 | $110.8k | $-8.2k | 3 |
| 0x511f…cbe1 | 785 | $108.9k | $-96.2k | 19 |
| 0x60a9…5a71 | 413 | $103.9k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
16 open · 19 total · Event board
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
open · $436.6k
30.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
open · $440.2k
18.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
open · $214.7k
14.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
open · $343.4k
13.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
open · $555.2k
13.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?
open · $593.4k
2.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?
open · $58.2k
1.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?
open · $264.3k
1.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?
open · $124.7k
0.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
open · $54.2k
0.8%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?
open · $56.8k
0.6%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?
open · $65.0k
0.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
open · $73.5k
0.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?
open · $73.5k
0.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?
open · $89.7k
0.3%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?
open · $56.3k
0.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?
closed · $49.8k
0.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?
closed · $44.8k
0.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?
closed · $38.6k
0.1%
| 0x5297…7b99 | $29.9k | $15.3k | $14.5k | $-806 |
| 0x45a2…3c01 | $23.7k | $13.2k | $10.4k | $-2.8k |
| 0x30e4…5102 | $22.9k | $19.2k | $3.6k | $-15.6k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | $16.8k | $10.3k | $6.5k | $-3.8k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $16.4k | $16.4k | $0 | $-16.4k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | $15.4k | $15.4k | $0 | $-15.4k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $13.9k | $13.9k | $0 | $-13.9k |
| 0xac4a…bf1e | $11.3k | $7.9k | $3.4k | $-4.5k |
| $-5.7k |
| 5 |
| 0x196f…dd9a | 377 | $97.7k | $-63.1k | 1 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 844 | $95.7k | $-94.4k | 5 |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | 220 | $92.1k | $-3.2k | 6 |
| 0xdb35…b137 | 57 | $90.7k | $25.2k | 1 |
| 0x7815…e82b | 347 | $88.4k | $-17.3k | 1 |
| 0x3423…fe57 | 3,011 | $74.7k | $65.2k | 19 |
