Multi-outcome · 16 open · 3 closed hidden
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
open · $437.5k
30.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
open · $451.5k
23.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
open · $215.9k
18.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
open · $343.9k
11.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
open · $555.6k
11.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?
open · $593.6k
1.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?
open · $264.5k
1.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?
open · $58.4k
1.0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?
open · $124.8k
0.9%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?
open · $56.9k
0.5%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?
open · $65.2k
0.5%
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