Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?

0xd81282f5791e3354572aa666ee1a2bdb8700e235a6d94b06a49c18c606eef1ce

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 9.4% · CLOB volume $29.4k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $5 · 21/26 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

9.4%

Yes

Implied No

90.5%

Volume

$29.4k

CLOB

Traders

110

345 trades

Yes 9.4%No 90.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

$10

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($5)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 9.4% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($29.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-29 04:43:09

108.1¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-29 04:43:09

1333.3¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-22 22:26:48

109.3¢$39

NOBUY2026-07-22 22:26:48

1176.5¢$39

NOBUY2026-07-22 17:50:39

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x99f8…a1af	$2.4k	$1.7k	$693	$-999
0x7c9e…db3d	$1.4k	$688	$676	$-12
0x167a…91d5	$863	$431	$431	$0
0xc3fc…484a	$736	$513	$223	$-291

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x9d73…216b	6	$12.5k	$-408	1
0x4d01…1645	48	$7.4k	$-6.0k	2
0xc550…272d	85	$7.2k	$-5.7k	9
0x05ed…bf70	10	$6.0k

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