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Israel closes its airspace by...?Active 12 days left

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

0xdbaa19c72378f7eb2fc01c0b40404857a1b1e68e3561ce5bbe792a24ce79377e

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 8.5% · CLOB volume $587.8k · whales 24h net $52.4k (77 wallets) · 7d net $254.3k · 2/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

8.5%

Yes

Implied No

91.5%

Volume

$587.8k

CLOB

Traders

690

4,924 trades

Yes 8.5%No 91.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

12.0% → 8.0% (-4.0pp)

See all movers →

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$52.4k

Buy

$80.3k

Sell

$28.0k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$254.3k

Buy

$435.2k

Sell

$180.9k

Whales

327

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($52.4k)
•7d whale net still positive ($254.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 8.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 15:00:56

92.0¢$3

YESBUY2026-08-03 15:00:56

8.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-03 14:56:50

92.0¢$1

YESBUY2026-08-03 14:56:50

8.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-03 14:47:44

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x122c…fbed	$49.9k	$27.5k	$22.4k	$-5.0k
0x3eae…e2ed	$30.4k	$25.1k	$5.3k	$-19.8k
0x7447…a16d	$29.2k	$2.8k	$26.4k	$23.5k
0xc7e5…2d3a	$29.1k	$13.3k	$15.8k	$2.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	3,563	$471.1k	$-8.6k	5
0xeb49…693e	657	$382.1k	$-130.8k	5
0xc8ab…6418	839	$351.2k	$-346.2k	5
0x9592…a7b8	615	$349.6k

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