Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

0x12aa595f4883b1a856dcf8155b87e89a8d098b5ad8a7781c75804fd13d166718

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 38.5% · CLOB volume $286.3k · whales 24h net $4.7k (31 wallets) · 7d net $68.4k · 2/14 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

38.5%

Yes

Implied No

61.5%

Volume

$286.3k

CLOB

Traders

372

3,621 trades

Yes 38.5%No 61.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$4.7k

Buy

$8.8k

Sell

$4.2k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$68.4k

Buy

$107.3k

Sell

$38.8k

Whales

131

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($4.7k)
•7d whale net still positive ($68.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 38.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 09:11:03

270.3¢$71

YESBUY2026-07-21 09:11:03

37.0¢$17

YESBUY2026-07-21 09:11:03

37.0¢$10

NOBUY2026-07-21 08:22:34

63.0¢$2

YESBUY2026-07-21 08:22:34

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xd104…acef	630	$1.15M	$-940.8k	7
0x8a98…1b92	8,132	$1.10M	$3.6k	11
0x9592…a7b8	2,449	$1.08M	$248.3k	12
0xe1e1…d250	563	$933.7k

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