Multi-outcome · 21 open · 3 closed hidden
Next James Bond actor?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
open · $250.5k
36.3%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
open · $100.0k
20.3%
No one announced as next James Bond?
open · $534.6k
19.1%
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?
open · $63.5k
9.6%
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?
open · $36.0k
8.3%
Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?
open · $25.5k
3.6%
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
open · $29.9k
1.9%
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
open · $20.4k
1.2%
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?
open · $24.9k
1.1%
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?
open · $19.6k
1.1%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x511f…cbe124 mkts · $107.8k
- 0xb1ca…17057 mkts · $78.2k
- 0x23cd…377a2 mkts · $68.3k
- 0x9d84…13448 mkts · $65.6k
- 0x5eb0…50121 mkts · $61.5k
- 0x122c…fbed8 mkts · $48.6k
- 0x5a21…931824 mkts · $37.5k
- 0x6cff…45ac10 mkts · $34.9k
- 0x2106…4dea24 mkts · $34.3k
- 0x9648…68254 mkts · $29.2k
- 0x21ff…0d7124 mkts · $26.1k
- 0x524d…44951 mkts · $26.1k
- 0x0380…073d24 mkts · $25.7k
- 0xf542…13688 mkts · $25.0k
- 0x0097…4a1d2 mkts · $23.6k