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Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Active 29 days left

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

0xbdc0827c873d1c3c538e549ab94c77829f7e40fd3376b25164c0279f744a87bc

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 44.5% · CLOB volume $517.1k · whales 24h net $22.2k (84 wallets) · 7d net $87.5k · 2/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

44.5%

Yes

Implied No

55.5%

Volume

$517.1k

CLOB

Traders

450

2,759 trades

Yes 44.5%No 55.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

41.0% → 46.0% (+5.0pp)

See all movers →

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$22.2k

Buy

$39.1k

Sell

$16.8k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$87.5k

Buy

$156.5k

Sell

$69.0k

Whales

172

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($22.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($87.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 44.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-08-03 15:14:59

46.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-03 15:14:59

217.4¢$3

YESBUY2026-08-03 15:13:47

45.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-03 15:13:47

55.0¢$6

NOBUY2026-08-03 15:10:27

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x5297…7b99	$27.6k	$17.6k	$10.0k	$-7.6k
0x122c…fbed	$19.7k	$10.3k	$9.4k	$-929
0x60a9…5a71	$18.7k	$8.0k	$10.7k	$2.7k
0x6d9f…9790	$16.4k	$9.0k	$7.4k	$-1.6k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x122c…fbed	5,514	$550.1k	$-11.5k	6
0xc8ab…6418	904	$337.1k	$-331.5k	6
0x7447…a16d	368	$304.3k	$-12.2k	4
0x53e5…6177	228	$255.3k

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