0x7a833b2745bc6911db3ef244e37287c9ab1be1e63ee71266d2c79326cafbe285
As of Sep 10, 2026, “US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?” trades at 35% YES on Polymarket with $246.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 34.5% · CLOB volume $246.9k · whales 24h net $14.2k (65 wallets) · 7d net $52.0k · 4/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
34.5%
Yes
Implied No
65.5%
No
Volume
$246.9k
CLOB
Traders
459
3,114 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
33.0% → 35.0% (+2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$14.2k
Buy
$24.6k
Sell
$10.4k
Whales
65
Last 7 days
Net flow
$52.0k
Buy
$101.4k
Sell
$49.3k
Whales
135
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $39.4k | $39.4k | $0 | $-39.4k |
| 0x0845…6b6f | $35.4k | $16.8k | $18.5k | $1.7k |
| 0xbf4d…33ed | $30.7k | $18.1k | $12.6k | $-5.5k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $22.0k | $11.4k | $10.6k | $-742 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 1,085 | $461.0k | $-429.0k | 8 |
| 0x5297…7b99 | 2,686 | $204.7k | $-104.7k | 8 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 1,630 | $190.9k | $-6.6k | 6 |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | 395 | $171.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
4 open · 11 total · Event board
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
open · $275.5k
53.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
open · $246.9k
34.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
open · $44.3k
17.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
open · $934.2k
6.5%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
closed · $1.74M
0.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
closed · $1.51M
0.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
closed · $967.8k
0.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
closed · $502.0k
0.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
closed · $1.93M
0.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?
closed · $336.9k
0.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
closed · $2.48M
0.0%
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | $20.8k | $10.0k | $10.8k | $741 |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | $17.5k | $11.6k | $5.9k | $-5.6k |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | $16.0k | $9.1k | $6.9k | $-2.3k |
| 0x3007…763a | $10.6k | $4.2k | $6.4k | $2.2k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $10.5k | $10.5k | $0 | $-10.5k |
| 0x5297…7b99 | $10.2k | $6.7k | $3.4k | $-3.3k |
| 0x11f3…d859 | $9.6k | $4.2k | $5.3k | $1.1k |
| 0x5464…af99 | $8.9k | $5.9k | $3.0k | $-2.9k |
| $-28.0k |
| 4 |
| 0x60a9…5a71 | 412 | $149.4k | $-25.3k | 7 |
| 0x9c98…f4f4 | 174 | $114.0k | $-15.3k | 5 |
| 0x162f…798d | 167 | $106.0k | $48.3k | 4 |
| 0x49e9…8f85 | 108 | $102.9k | $-36.3k | 4 |
| 0x7c3d…5c6b | 501 | $100.9k | $-52.9k | 5 |
| 0xa8c6…44e8 | 483 | $96.4k | $-61.9k | 8 |
