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Israel military action against Beirut by...?Active 27 days left

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?

0x35fac6dda287ab6433bdc326bb39f31594744200fb68625621c6115b4f0d8622

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 12.5% · CLOB volume $74.8k · whales 24h net $630 (5 wallets) · 7d net $20.3k · 1/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

12.5%

Yes

Implied No

87.5%

Volume

$74.8k

CLOB

Traders

256

1,209 trades

Yes 12.5%No 87.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

12.0% → 12.0% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$630

Buy

$912

Sell

$282

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$20.3k

Buy

$35.3k

Sell

$15.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($630)
•7d whale net still positive ($20.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 12.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-08-04 13:25:47

12.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-04 13:25:47

833.3¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-04 13:25:47

88.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-08-04 05:10:39

89.0¢$30

YESBUY2026-08-04 05:10:39

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x6bab…0fe5	$11.0k	$6.3k	$4.7k	$-1.6k
0x4478…02a4	$5.6k	$5.6k	$0	$-5.6k
0xbd14…76b4	$5.4k	$3.7k	$1.7k	$-2.0k
0x0faf…d0d9	$5.0k	$3.2k	$1.8k	$-1.4k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x4478…02a4	96	$18.1k	$-16.4k	4
0x6bab…0fe5	74	$11.0k	$-1.6k	1
0x7f9e…3a0e	40	$10.5k	$-3.2k	1
0x0faf…d0d9	49	$9.0k

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