0x0d58510591b53c9837c30c1f5a202232da376460634aee9da71a6bfeb15350bb
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $1.27M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.1% · CLOB volume $1.27M · whales 24h net $9 (2 wallets) · 7d net $62 · 31/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.1%
Yes
Implied No
99.0%
No
Volume
$1.27M
CLOB
Traders
1,732
26,019 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$9
Buy
$165
Sell
$156
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$62
Buy
$229
Sell
$167
Whales
7
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb886…81b3 | $9.9k | $163 | $9.8k | $9.6k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $7.0k | $7.0k | $0 | $-7.0k |
| 0x0029…d342 | $928 | $928 | $0 | $-928 |
| 0x493c…953e | $900 | $900 | $0 | $-900 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 935 | $326.9k | $300.2k | 1 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 2,828 | $142.7k | $-135.4k | 20 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 221 | $108.4k | $-99.8k | 1 |
| 0x9351…9e4d | 270 | $79.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $24.4k
13.1%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $10.0k
9.6%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $299.7k
7.5%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.06M
6.2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $916.6k
5.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.5k
4.0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $828.4k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.99M
2.1%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $790.8k
1.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.4k
1.9%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $689.2k
1.3%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.47M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $642.2k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.27M
1.1%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.4k
1.1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $823.6k
1.0%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.3k
0.9%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.8k
0.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.5k
0.7%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.44M
0.5%
| 0xc3cd…816c | $890 | $596 | $295 | $-301 |
| 0x7ca4…00c9 | $780 | $11 | $769 | $757 |
| 0x2a8b…4b22 | $540 | $500 | $40 | $-460 |
| 0xeee9…f66f | $382 | $379 | $3 | $-376 |
| 0x5018…398b | $330 | $330 | $0 | $-330 |
| 0xcdf8…b8ea | $321 | $165 | $156 | $-9 |
| 0x5533…51ba | $291 | $283 | $9 | $-274 |
| 0x5942…1dff | $259 | $129 | $129 | $0 |
| $-13.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x0029…d342 | 120 | $54.1k | $-44.5k | 4 |
| 0x8476…5418 | 64 | $46.6k | $-12.2k | 1 |
| 0x47ab…95df | 63 | $39.9k | $-35.5k | 1 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | 79 | $39.7k | $-33.5k | 1 |
| 0x771d…440e | 27 | $39.4k | $-2.3k | 1 |
| 0xc550…272d | 66 | $37.5k | $-24.0k | 2 |
