0xb9212b9cb5404a1db7aa30477619222b4100802f03f32a6fc5639c6e24fe0e1f
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $642.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.1% · CLOB volume $642.2k · whales 24h net $49 (1 wallets) · 7d net $125 · 31/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.1%
Yes
Implied No
98.8%
No
Volume
$642.2k
CLOB
Traders
1,267
15,577 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$49
Buy
$49
Sell
$0
Whales
1
Last 7 days
Net flow
$125
Buy
$636
Sell
$510
Whales
8
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | $9.9k | $9.3k | $652 | $-8.6k |
| 0x660b…ab75 | $3.7k | $2.4k | $1.2k | $-1.2k |
| 0x0bee…4095 | $2.0k | $1.3k | $662 | $-653 |
| 0x65a7…868f | $1.6k | $310 | $1.3k | $973 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 935 | $326.9k | $300.2k | 1 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 2,828 | $142.7k | $-135.4k | 20 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 221 | $108.4k | $-99.8k | 1 |
| 0x9351…9e4d | 270 | $79.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $24.4k
13.1%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $10.0k
9.6%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $299.7k
7.5%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.06M
6.2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $916.6k
5.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.5k
4.0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $828.4k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.99M
2.1%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $790.8k
1.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.4k
1.9%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $689.2k
1.3%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.47M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $642.2k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.27M
1.1%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.4k
1.1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $823.6k
1.0%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.3k
0.9%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.8k
0.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.5k
0.7%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.44M
0.5%
| 0xe8a0…3aea | $1.4k | $597 | $768 | $171 |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $1.4k | $1.3k | $10 | $-1.3k |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | $1.3k | $644 | $691 | $47 |
| 0x97b4…d794 | $1.3k | $14 | $1.3k | $1.3k |
| 0xb6a2…4b66 | $1.2k | $1.2k | $52 | $-1.1k |
| 0xb143…3c17 | $1.2k | $844 | $330 | $-514 |
| 0x5533…51ba | $788 | $352 | $436 | $85 |
| 0xf040…3a86 | $680 | $565 | $116 | $-449 |
| $-13.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x0029…d342 | 120 | $54.1k | $-44.5k | 4 |
| 0x8476…5418 | 64 | $46.6k | $-12.2k | 1 |
| 0x47ab…95df | 63 | $39.9k | $-35.5k | 1 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | 79 | $39.7k | $-33.5k | 1 |
| 0x771d…440e | 27 | $39.4k | $-2.3k | 1 |
| 0xc550…272d | 66 | $37.5k | $-24.0k | 2 |
