Multi-outcome · 20 open
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $285.0k
8.5%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $771.7k
6.7%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.04M
4.8%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $804.8k
3.3%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $780.5k
2.8%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $897.1k
2.4%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.26M
2.3%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $849.1k
1.4%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $681.0k
1.4%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $616.4k
1.3%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.45M
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.26M
0.9%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.43M
0.8%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.24M
0.5%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $865.0k
0.5%
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