Multi-outcome · 31 open
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $24.4k
13.1%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $10.0k
9.6%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $299.7k
7.5%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.06M
5.7%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $916.6k
5.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.5k
4.1%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $828.4k
2.9%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.99M
2.1%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $790.8k
1.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.4k
1.9%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $689.2k
1.3%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.47M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $642.2k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.27M
1.1%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.4k
1.1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $823.6k
1.0%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.3k
0.9%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.8k
0.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.5k
0.7%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.44M
0.5%
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