0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $299.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 7.5% · CLOB volume $299.7k · whales 24h net $140 (6 wallets) · 7d net $825 · 31/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
7.5%
Yes
Implied No
92.5%
No
Volume
$299.7k
CLOB
Traders
1,265
9,253 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
7.0% → 7.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$140
Buy
$180
Sell
$40
Whales
6
Last 7 days
Net flow
$825
Buy
$1.9k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
23
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe821…b27e | $3.2k | $1.7k | $1.5k | $-262 |
| 0xb886…81b3 | $2.3k | $2.3k | $0 | $-2.3k |
| 0x1f0a…f7aa | $2.2k | $2.2k | $1 | $-2.2k |
| 0xd600…b66e | $2.1k | $1.1k | $1.0k | $-88 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 935 | $326.9k | $300.2k | 1 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 2,828 | $142.7k | $-135.4k | 20 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 221 | $108.4k | $-99.8k | 1 |
| 0x9351…9e4d | 270 | $79.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $24.4k
13.1%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $10.0k
9.6%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $299.7k
7.5%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.06M
6.2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $916.6k
5.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.5k
4.0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $828.4k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.99M
2.1%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $790.8k
1.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.4k
1.9%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $689.2k
1.3%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.47M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $642.2k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.27M
1.1%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.4k
1.1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $823.6k
1.0%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.3k
0.9%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.8k
0.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.5k
0.7%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.44M
0.5%
| 0x26f8…a969 | $1.2k | $101 | $1.1k | $1.0k |
| 0x786a…94a7 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0x2d99…4ca3 | $1000 | $1000 | $0 | $-1000 |
| 0xbd8a…f9bd | $739 | $736 | $3 | $-733 |
| 0x3df2…bfec | $544 | $504 | $40 | $-464 |
| 0xc3cd…816c | $535 | $535 | $0 | $-535 |
| 0x40c5…5cba | $488 | $457 | $31 | $-426 |
| 0x1bf6…2ecd | $405 | $30 | $375 | $345 |
| $-13.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x0029…d342 | 120 | $54.1k | $-44.5k | 4 |
| 0x8476…5418 | 64 | $46.6k | $-12.2k | 1 |
| 0x47ab…95df | 63 | $39.9k | $-35.5k | 1 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | 79 | $39.7k | $-33.5k | 1 |
| 0x771d…440e | 27 | $39.4k | $-2.3k | 1 |
| 0xc550…272d | 66 | $37.5k | $-24.0k | 2 |
