0xec2e51ebb99006172b05548fc53d6842d30c9c0cccaf4c34569f0431b94d4bfc
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $823.6k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 1.0% · CLOB volume $823.6k · whales 24h net $-18 (4 wallets) · 7d net $735 · 31/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.0%
Yes
Implied No
99.0%
No
Volume
$823.6k
CLOB
Traders
2,673
17,558 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.1% → 1.3% (+0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$-18
Buy
$119
Sell
$138
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$735
Buy
$1.5k
Sell
$798
Whales
14
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | $4.8k | $4.8k | $38 | $-4.7k |
| 0x81f9…4451 | $3.8k | $1.9k | $1.9k | $-3 |
| 0x26f8…a969 | $2.8k | $1.2k | $1.5k | $254 |
| 0x786a…94a7 | $1.5k | $1.5k | $0 | $-1.5k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 935 | $326.9k | $300.2k | 1 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 2,828 | $142.7k | $-135.4k | 20 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 221 | $108.4k | $-99.8k | 1 |
| 0x9351…9e4d | 270 | $79.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $24.4k
13.1%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $10.0k
9.6%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $299.7k
7.5%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.06M
6.2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $916.6k
5.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.5k
4.0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $828.4k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.99M
2.1%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $790.8k
1.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.4k
1.9%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $689.2k
1.3%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.47M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $642.2k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.27M
1.1%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.4k
1.1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $823.6k
1.0%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.3k
0.9%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.8k
0.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.5k
0.7%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.44M
0.5%
| 0x1102…af36 | $825 | $800 | $25 | $-775 |
| 0xff4b…d019 | $726 | $6 | $720 | $714 |
| 0xd426…334a | $719 | $21 | $698 | $677 |
| 0x410a…2643 | $716 | $716 | $0 | $-716 |
| 0x836f…906e | $670 | $555 | $116 | $-439 |
| 0xee8a…f0b0 | $645 | $20 | $625 | $605 |
| 0xb04a…acfc | $611 | $307 | $304 | $-4 |
| 0x3dcc…9d1b | $549 | $477 | $72 | $-405 |
| $-13.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x0029…d342 | 120 | $54.1k | $-44.5k | 4 |
| 0x8476…5418 | 64 | $46.6k | $-12.2k | 1 |
| 0x47ab…95df | 63 | $39.9k | $-35.5k | 1 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | 79 | $39.7k | $-33.5k | 1 |
| 0x771d…440e | 27 | $39.4k | $-2.3k | 1 |
| 0xc550…272d | 66 | $37.5k | $-24.0k | 2 |
