0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $4.99M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.1% · CLOB volume $4.99M · whales 24h net $27.5k (36 wallets) · 7d net $91.9k · 31/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.1%
Yes
Implied No
98.0%
No
Volume
$4.99M
CLOB
Traders
3,275
27,149 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
2.6% → 2.4% (-0.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$27.5k
Buy
$98.2k
Sell
$70.7k
Whales
36
Last 7 days
Net flow
$91.9k
Buy
$395.6k
Sell
$303.7k
Whales
98
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | $326.9k | $13.3k | $313.5k | $300.2k |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $108.4k | $104.1k | $4.3k | $-99.8k |
| 0x9351…9e4d | $79.2k | $46.4k | $32.8k | $-13.7k |
| 0x0029…d342 | $52.3k | $47.5k | $4.8k | $-42.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ce…ced2 | 935 | $326.9k | $300.2k | 1 |
| 0xd600…b66e | 2,828 | $142.7k | $-135.4k | 20 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 221 | $108.4k | $-99.8k | 1 |
| 0x9351…9e4d | 270 | $79.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
31 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $24.4k
13.1%
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $10.0k
9.6%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $299.7k
7.5%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $2.06M
6.2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $916.6k
5.3%
Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $6.5k
4.0%
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $828.4k
2.6%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $4.99M
2.1%
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $790.8k
1.9%
Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $14.4k
1.9%
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $689.2k
1.3%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.47M
1.1%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $642.2k
1.1%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.27M
1.1%
Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.4k
1.1%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $823.6k
1.0%
Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.3k
0.9%
Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.8k
0.7%
Will ICRC win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $3.5k
0.7%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
open · $1.44M
0.5%
| 0x8476…5418 | $46.6k | $29.4k | $17.2k | $-12.2k |
| 0x47ab…95df | $39.9k | $37.7k | $2.2k | $-35.5k |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | $39.7k | $36.6k | $3.1k | $-33.5k |
| 0x771d…440e | $39.4k | $20.8k | $18.5k | $-2.3k |
| 0xc550…272d | $28.8k | $25.1k | $3.7k | $-21.5k |
| 0x9648…6825 | $26.7k | $26.7k | $0 | $-26.7k |
| 0x12d6…f2a8 | $25.8k | $25.8k | $0 | $-25.8k |
| 0xde7e…396b | $25.2k | $13.1k | $12.1k | $-976 |
| $-13.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x0029…d342 | 120 | $54.1k | $-44.5k | 4 |
| 0x8476…5418 | 64 | $46.6k | $-12.2k | 1 |
| 0x47ab…95df | 63 | $39.9k | $-35.5k | 1 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | 79 | $39.7k | $-33.5k | 1 |
| 0x771d…440e | 27 | $39.4k | $-2.3k | 1 |
| 0xc550…272d | 66 | $37.5k | $-24.0k | 2 |
