0x214527947fec204ea295711072850969d1b72fbb35f0be3f7ba0db0e43c2fdb3
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 88% YES on Polymarket with $4.0k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 87.5% · CLOB volume $4.0k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $420 · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
87.5%
Yes
Implied No
12.5%
No
Volume
$4.0k
CLOB
Traders
24
68 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$420
Buy
$527
Sell
$107
Whales
9
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | $323 | $234 | $89 | $-145 |
| 0x7e35…1a6c | $310 | $60 | $251 | $191 |
| 0x77aa…8d9c | $307 | $50 | $257 | $207 |
| 0xcc36…d35d | $293 | $244 | $50 | $-194 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 442 | $29.5k | $-10.5k | 8 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | 166 | $8.3k | $-987 | 2 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 98 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $241.3k
99.6%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.0k
87.5%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $243.2k
68.0%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $195.9k
13.5%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.1%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $357.2k
2.1%
| 0x270a…7b78 | $273 | $252 | $21 | $-230 |
| 0xd693…6f4a | $173 | $173 | $0 | $-173 |
| 0xf51b…ca1b | $171 | $159 | $12 | $-147 |
| 0xc6cf…b265 | $170 | $150 | $20 | $-130 |
| 0xa58c…56e3 | $154 | $154 | $0 | $-154 |
| 0xf3fa…7be3 | $128 | $67 | $61 | $-6 |
| 0x3749…4094 | $109 | $98 | $11 | $-87 |
| 0x758d…5d9e | $105 | $55 | $50 | $-5 |
| $1.6k |
| 3 |
| 0xa45f…d6cb | 80 | $4.5k | $431 | 4 |
| 0xdf59…deb0 | 41 | $4.5k | $-1.6k | 2 |
| 0x1e55…e3e2 | 33 | $3.9k | $-1.4k | 2 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 53 | $3.7k | $-1.3k | 5 |
| 0x49b1…c280 | 65 | $3.7k | $-3.7k | 4 |
| 0x97ea…3363 | 25 | $3.5k | $-3.5k | 4 |
