0x15a76480d8b6c81b118804d613476cffada2bea80dcaef5cf449200c81bb58c7
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 100% YES on Polymarket with $241.3k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 99.6% · CLOB volume $241.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $179 · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
99.6%
Yes
Implied No
0.4%
No
Volume
$241.3k
CLOB
Traders
615
4,383 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$179
Buy
$322
Sell
$143
Whales
13
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | $18.7k | $13.8k | $4.9k | $-9.0k |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | $6.6k | $3.8k | $2.8k | $-947 |
| 0xdf59…deb0 | $3.7k | $2.5k | $1.2k | $-1.3k |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | $1.7k | $1.7k | $0 | $-1.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 442 | $29.5k | $-10.5k | 8 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | 166 | $8.3k | $-987 | 2 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 98 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $241.3k
99.6%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.0k
87.5%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $243.2k
68.0%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $195.9k
13.5%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.1%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $357.2k
2.1%
| 0xd031…46b1 | $1.6k | $1.4k | $133 | $-1.3k |
| 0x97ea…3363 | $1.3k | $1.3k | $0 | $-1.3k |
| 0xb4d2…ce99 | $1.2k | $1.1k | $132 | $-962 |
| 0x1e55…e3e2 | $1.0k | $823 | $179 | $-645 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | $993 | $993 | $0 | $-993 |
| 0xd6a8…58fd | $973 | $929 | $44 | $-885 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $811 | $801 | $10 | $-792 |
| 0x5446…18f6 | $695 | $352 | $343 | $-9 |
| $1.6k |
| 3 |
| 0xa45f…d6cb | 80 | $4.5k | $431 | 4 |
| 0xdf59…deb0 | 41 | $4.5k | $-1.6k | 2 |
| 0x1e55…e3e2 | 33 | $3.9k | $-1.4k | 2 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 53 | $3.7k | $-1.3k | 5 |
| 0x49b1…c280 | 65 | $3.7k | $-3.7k | 4 |
| 0x97ea…3363 | 25 | $3.5k | $-3.5k | 4 |
