0xf84585b48f83e2630a7b5f60b6e43188f29f1d68206685aa3753db065e6bdc09
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $357.2k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 2.1% · CLOB volume $357.2k · whales 24h net $177 (4 wallets) · 7d net $340 · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.1%
Yes
Implied No
97.9%
No
Volume
$357.2k
CLOB
Traders
400
2,769 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$177
Buy
$177
Sell
$0
Whales
4
Last 7 days
Net flow
$340
Buy
$414
Sell
$74
Whales
12
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd031…46b1 | $4.0k | $2.5k | $1.5k | $-978 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $1.4k | $963 | $413 | $-550 |
| 0x0362…449e | $1.2k | $600 | $554 | $-46 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | $1.1k | $554 | $519 | $-35 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 442 | $29.5k | $-10.5k | 8 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | 166 | $8.3k | $-987 | 2 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 98 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $241.3k
99.6%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.0k
87.5%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $243.2k
68.0%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $195.9k
13.5%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.1%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $357.2k
2.1%
| 0x88b6…3cff | $1.0k | $864 | $176 | $-688 |
| 0xe8a6…644b | $879 | $879 | $0 | $-879 |
| 0x0524…1479 | $772 | $476 | $296 | $-180 |
| 0xf17d…6f86 | $519 | $331 | $188 | $-143 |
| 0x61a6…de5f | $515 | $257 | $257 | $0 |
| 0x49b1…c280 | $484 | $484 | $0 | $-484 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $328 | $248 | $80 | $-168 |
| 0x2a20…89d2 | $307 | $194 | $113 | $-82 |
| $1.6k |
| 3 |
| 0xa45f…d6cb | 80 | $4.5k | $431 | 4 |
| 0xdf59…deb0 | 41 | $4.5k | $-1.6k | 2 |
| 0x1e55…e3e2 | 33 | $3.9k | $-1.4k | 2 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 53 | $3.7k | $-1.3k | 5 |
| 0x49b1…c280 | 65 | $3.7k | $-3.7k | 4 |
| 0x97ea…3363 | 25 | $3.5k | $-3.5k | 4 |
