0xba62360f068e50d543b2b5c9d486f14cfefea46d16c8bc7202d22735f0d044fa
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?” trades at 100% YES on Polymarket with $15.8k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 100.0% · CLOB volume $15.8k · whales 24h net $127 (1 wallets) · 7d net $205 · 6/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
100.0%
Yes
Implied No
0.0%
No
Volume
$15.8k
CLOB
Traders
161
760 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
99.9% → 99.9% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$127
Buy
$127
Sell
$0
Whales
1
Last 7 days
Net flow
$205
Buy
$207
Sell
$2
Whales
2
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb8ad…ff58 | $941 | $843 | $98 | $-745 |
| 0x0524…1479 | $889 | $444 | $445 | $1 |
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | $697 | $490 | $207 | $-283 |
| 0x7cd6…b33c | $400 | $200 | $200 | $0 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7bd9…bd75 | 442 | $29.5k | $-10.5k | 8 |
| 0xd031…46b1 | 115 | $12.1k | $-5.3k | 6 |
| 0x94d9…bc47 | 166 | $8.3k | $-987 | 2 |
| 0x3f3b…1d77 | 98 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 11 total · Event board
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $102.6k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $94.2k
100.0%
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $72.1k
100.0%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $51.0k
100.0%
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
closed · $15.8k
100.0%
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $241.3k
99.6%
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $4.0k
87.5%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $243.2k
68.0%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $195.9k
13.5%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $6.53M
8.1%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
open · $357.2k
2.1%
| 0xa58c…56e3 | $283 | $283 | $0 | $-283 |
| 0x6f67…102c | $252 | $150 | $102 | $-47 |
| 0xcceb…f030 | $226 | $153 | $73 | $-80 |
| 0x7dd1…009b | $218 | $103 | $114 | $11 |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | $208 | $208 | $0 | $-208 |
| 0x2574…144b | $201 | $201 | $0 | $-201 |
| 0x69d7…c25c | $137 | $71 | $66 | $-6 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $108 | $108 | $0 | $-108 |
| $1.6k |
| 3 |
| 0xa45f…d6cb | 80 | $4.5k | $431 | 4 |
| 0xdf59…deb0 | 41 | $4.5k | $-1.6k | 2 |
| 0x1e55…e3e2 | 33 | $3.9k | $-1.4k | 2 |
| 0x0524…1479 | 53 | $3.7k | $-1.3k | 5 |
| 0x49b1…c280 | 65 | $3.7k | $-3.7k | 4 |
| 0x97ea…3363 | 25 | $3.5k | $-3.5k | 4 |
